Référence
bibliographique complète |
VINCENT C., KAPPENBERGER G., VALLA F., BAUDER A., FUNK
M., Le MEUR E. Ice ablation as evidence of climate change in the Alps
over the 20th century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2004,
Vol. 109. |
| Mots-clés |
Glacier, climate signal, mass balances, ablation rate, front fluctuations. |
Organismes / Contact |
| Laboratoire de Glaciologie et de Géophysique de l’Environnement, CNRS, St Martin d’Hères. vincent@lgge.obs.ujf-grenoble.fr Meto Svizzera, 6605 Locarno Monti, Switzerland. CEMAGREF, Saint Martin d’Hères, France. Versuchsanstalt für Wasserbau, Hydrologie und Glaziologie, Zurich, Switzerland. |
(1)
- Paramètre(s) atmosphérique(s) modifié(s) |
(2)
- Elément(s) du milieu impacté(s) |
(3)
- Type(s) d'aléa impacté(s) |
(3)
- Sous-type(s) d'aléa |
| Air temperature, insolation | Glaciers |
Pays
/ Zone |
Massif
/ Secteur |
Site(s) d'étude |
Exposition |
Altitude |
Période(s)
d'observation |
France, Swiss and Austria |
Alps | 1.Glaciers of Claridenfirn (46°40’N; 8°50’E) |
1 : E |
1. 2540-3240m |
1 : 1914-2002 |
(1)
- Modifications des paramètres atmosphériques |
|
| Reconstitutions | |
| Observations |
|
| Modélisations |
|
| Hypothèses |
|
Informations complémentaires (données utilisées, méthode, scénarios, etc.) |
|
| (2)
- Impacts du changement climatique sur le milieu naturel |
|
| Reconstitutions | |
| Observations |
The 1953-1999 average rate of decrease : The cumulative centered mass balance series show a strikingly common feature between the respective behaviours of the 1, 3, 4 and 5 glaciers. Mass balance fluctuations of the Aletsch glacier show some discrepancies, especially between 1957 and 1980. It could be a consequence of the difference of methods used to obtain the data. Explained variance between mass balance terms : The summer mass balance term represents by far the largest
contribution to the annual mass balance. The comparison of the standard
deviations of each mass balance term leads to the same conclusion and
shows that the winter mass balance contribution to the annual mass balance
is greater on the 1 glacier than on the 5. It is consistent with the fact
that 1 observations are from the accumulation zone only and the decreasing
variability of mass balance with elevation. The summer mass balance explains
by far the largest part of the annual mass balance correlation between
the 1 and 5 glaciers. For the 5 glacier, between 1954-1981 and 1982-2002, the calculated energy variations are 20 and 11 W m-2 for the snow and ice ablation periods respectively. The air temperature increase between the same periods explains the largest part of the ablation rise. |
| Modélisations |
|
| Hypothèses |
|
Sensibilité du milieu à des paramètres climatiques |
Informations complémentaires (données utilisées, méthode, scénarios, etc.) |
Winter and summer mass balance series of Claridenfirn and Sarennes have been used to investigate the possibility of a common climatic signal throughout the Alps. |
| (3)
- Impacts du changement climatique sur l'aléa |
|
| Reconstitutions | |
| Observations |
|
| Modélisations |
|
| Hypothèses |
|
Paramètre de l'aléa |
Sensibilité du paramètres de l'aléa à des paramètres climatiques |
Informations complémentaires (données utilisées, méthode, scénarios, etc.) |
(4) - Remarques générales |
|
|
(5)
- Syntèses et préconisations |
|